INDIA CCTS INAUGRAL MARKET OUTLOOK
Climate Decode’s inaugural India CCTS Market Outlook provides the first scenario-based assessment of how India’s Carbon Credit Trading Scheme is likely to form, tighten, and price over its initial compliance phase.
As India moves from efficiency programs to a full industrial carbon market, carbon is no longer a reporting metric — it becomes a material cost driver. Yet forward visibility on credit availability, sectoral deficits, and pricing remains limited.
This report models how production growth, benchmark tightening, and feasible decarbonisation interact to shape:
-
When the market shifts from early surplus to structural deficit
-
Which sectors become dominant buyers and sellers
-
How compliance prices evolve through the late 2020s
-
Where CBAM exposure and domestic carbon costs converge
Rather than a static forecast, the analysis reveals how small policy and performance shifts can materially change market outcomes.
Read the report to learn:
-
When credit scarcity begins and why
-
Which sectors anchor demand and pricing
-
How prices move from initial levels through 2030?
-
Why benchmark calibration is the key determinant of market stability